empty
04.07.2025 10:09 AM
Next Week May Begin on a Positive Note for the Markets (Possible Resumption of Growth in #SPX and #NDX)

The U.S. labor market data, published by the Department of Labor, instilled cautious optimism among investors, extending the rally in U.S. equity markets, supporting the dollar, and weakening gold prices.

According to the released employment report, the U.S. economy added 147,000 new jobs in the nonfarm sector in June, compared to the forecasted drop to 111,000. Importantly, the May figures were revised upward to 144,000. A pleasant surprise also came from the drop in the unemployment rate, from 4.2% to 4.1%, which was lower than the expected increase to 4.3%.

The data was interpreted positively by investors, which led to increased demand for stocks and pushed up the three main U.S. stock indices. All of this occurred during a shortened trading day ahead of Independence Day, a period when trading volumes are usually low and market participant activity is subdued.

Also worth noting in the context of positive news are the figures for average hourly earnings and the average workweek in the U.S. These indicators showed declines, which might be seen as negative in other circumstances. However, amid concerns of potential inflation rising against a backdrop of high demand for goods and services, this trend can be seen as a sign of inflation slowing. This, in turn, supports expectations that the Federal Reserve might cut the key interest rate by 0.25% in September.

Today is a public holiday in the U.S. Market activity worldwide is noticeably lower than usual, as many American investors are absent due to the long weekend.

What to Expect on the Markets Today?

Trading is likely to be sluggish, with minimal price changes. Starting Monday, market participants are expected to return more actively, responding to the labor market report, as well as progress in negotiations between the U.S. and Vietnam on mutual trade, and the White House's decision to lift restrictions on software exports to China. In addition, focus will be on the final approval by Congress of President Donald Trump's $3.4 trillion tax and budget plan. All these developments are viewed as positive for the stock market.

This image is no longer relevant

This image is no longer relevant

Forecast of the Day:

Litecoin

The cryptocurrency is trading in a sideways range of 82.00–91.00 amid continued high uncertainty about the future of the dollar and the global economy. Against this backdrop, the price fell below the support level of 88.75 and may continue to decline toward the lower boundary of 82.00. The 87.35 level may serve as a signal to sell.

#SPX

The CFD contract on the S&P 500 futures is undergoing a mild downward correction due to the U.S. holiday. It may fall toward the support level of 6249.60, and then, after rebounding from that level, resume its upward trend next week. The 6268.60 mark is a potential buying level.

Pati Gani,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Viktor Vasilevsky
Start trade
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

What to Pay Attention to on December 4? Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

There are relatively few macroeconomic reports scheduled for Thursday, and none of them are considered important. In the UK, the construction sector's business activity index will be published

Paolo Greco 05:45 2025-12-04 UTC+2

Overview of GBP/USD. December 4. The U.S. Labor Market Crashed Again

The GBP/USD currency pair also traded with significant gains on Wednesday. Overall, we have been waiting only for substantial growth in the British currency in recent weeks and months

Paolo Greco 02:33 2025-12-04 UTC+2

Overview of EUR/USD. December 4. The Fate of the Fed Meeting is Decided

The EUR/USD currency pair began to rise from the very start of the day on Wednesday. We were even surprised by such a substantial rise in the euro

Paolo Greco 02:33 2025-12-04 UTC+2

Unexpectedly: The New Fed President Will Be a Close Ally of Trump. Part 2

Based on the previous analysis, it follows that in almost any case, Donald Trump will choose a candidate who can assure him of complete obedience or on whom Trump

Chin Zhao 23:25 2025-12-03 UTC+2

Unexpectedly: The New Fed President Will Be a Close Ally of Trump

On Tuesday, Donald Trump announced that he has nearly decided on a candidate for the new Chair of the Federal Reserve. It is important to remember that Jerome Powell's term

Chin Zhao 23:25 2025-12-03 UTC+2

AUD/USD: Contradictory Report on Australia's GDP Growth and Disappointing ADP Report

The Australian dollar against the U.S. dollar is approaching the boundaries of the 66 figure while updating local price highs. On Wednesday, the pair tested the resistance level at 0.6590

Irina Manzenko 23:25 2025-12-03 UTC+2

Australia's Economy Recovers Rapidly, AUD/USD Develops Bullish Momentum

Australia's GDP grew by 2.1% year-on-year in the third quarter, a result slightly below expectations but the highest in the past two years. The growth was slightly weaker than

Kuvat Raharjo 23:25 2025-12-03 UTC+2

GBP/USD. Analysis and Forecast

On Wednesday during the North American session, the GBP/USD pair rose sharply, breaking above the 1.3300 level. This growth was driven by market expectations of a more "dovish" Federal Reserve

Irina Yanina 19:09 2025-12-03 UTC+2

AUD/USD. Analysis and Forecast.

The Australian dollar continues its intraday rise against the weakening U.S. dollar, reaching new highs not seen since late October and approaching the 0.6600 level. The market's initial reaction

Irina Yanina 19:05 2025-12-03 UTC+2

GBP/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

Today, on Wednesday, the GBP/JPY pair is rising for the second consecutive day, having surpassed the round level of 207.00 within the day. At the current moment, the pair

Irina Yanina 19:01 2025-12-03 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.